On the variance of recurrent traffic flow for statistical traffic assignment

This paper generalizes and extends classical traffic assignment models to characterize the statistical features of Origin-Destination (O-D) demands, link/path flow and link/path costs, all of which vary from day to day. The generalized statistical traffic assignment (GESTA) model has a clear multi-level variance structure. Flow variance is analytically decomposed into three sources, O-D demands, route choices and measurement errors. Consequently, optimal decisions on roadway design, maintenance, operations and planning can be made using estimated probability distributions of link/path flow and system performance. The statistical equilibrium in GESTA is mathematically defined. Its multi-level statistical structure well fits large-scale data mining techniques. The embedded route choice model is consistent with the settings of O-D demands considering link costs that vary from day to day. We propose a Method of Successive Averages (MSA) based solution algorithm to solve for GESTA. Its convergence and computational complexity are analyzed. Three example networks including a large-scale network are solved to provide insights for decision making and to demonstrate computational efficiency.     

Dynamic activity-travel assignment in multi-state supernetworks

The integration of activity-based modeling and dynamic traffic assignment for travel demand analysis has recently attracted ever-increasing attention. However, related studies have limitations either on the integration structure or the number of choice facets being captured. This paper proposes a formulation of dynamic activity-travel assignment (DATA) in the framework of multi-state supernetworks, in which any path through a personalized supernetwork represents a particular activity-travel pattern (ATP) at a high level of spatial and temporal detail. DATA is formulated as a discrete-time dynamic user equilibrium (DUE) problem, which is reformulated as an equivalent variational inequality (VI) problem. A generalized dynamic link disutility function is established with the accommodation of different characteristics of the links in the supernetworks. Flow constraints and non-uniqueness of equilibria are also investigated. In the proposed formulation, the choices of departure time, route, mode, activity sequence, activity and parking location are all unified into one time-dependent ATP choice. As a result, the interdependences among all these choice facets can be readily captured. A solution algorithm based on the route-swapping mechanism is adopted to find the user equilibrium. A numerical example with simulated scenarios is provided to demonstrate the advantages of the proposed approach.     

An adaptive information fusion model to predict the short-term link travel time distribution in dynamic traffic networks

As intelligent transportation systems (ITS) approach the realm of widespread deployment, there is an increasing need to robustly capture the variability of link travel time in real-time to generate reliable predictions of real-time traffic conditions. This study proposes an adaptive information fusion model to predict the short-term link travel time distribution by iteratively combining past information on link travel time on the current day with the real-time link travel time information available at discrete time points. The past link travel time information is represented as a discrete distribution. The real-time link travel time is represented as a range, and is characterized using information quality in terms of information accuracy and time delay. A nonlinear programming formulation is used to specify the adaptive information fusion model to update the short-term link travel time distribution by focusing on information quality. The model adapts good information by weighing it higher while shielding the effects of bad information by reducing its weight. Numerical experiments suggest that the proposed model adequately represents the short-term link travel time distribution in terms of accuracy and robustness, while ensuring consistency with ambient traffic flow conditions. Further, they illustrate that the mean of a representative short-term travel time distribution is not necessarily a good tracking indicator of the actual (ground truth) time-dependent travel time on that link. Parametric sensitivity analysis illustrates that information accuracy significantly influences the model, and dominates the effects of time delay and the consistency constraint parameter. The proposed information fusion model bridges key methodological gaps in the ITS deployment context related to information fusion and the need for short-term travel time distributions.     

某款纯电动客车系统匹配和方案设计

结合某款纯电动客车的研发与应用,介绍纯电动系统的匹配设计和整车CAN网络架构,并提出合理的纯电动系统高压配电管理方案。     

停车让行交叉口机动车接受间隙和拒绝间隙分布特征

为了给出停车让行交叉口机动车的临界间隙值,调查了上海市不同区域(中心区、郊区等)和不同类型(十字形、T形)的14个交叉口,提取各交叉口不同流向(主路左转、支路直行、支路左转)交通流之间的穿越行为特征数据.基于Raff方法和极大似然估计法,对接受间隙和拒绝间隙数据进行统计分析,从而获得了不同类型交叉口不同流向的临界间隙值,将实测值与HCM2010中的推荐值进行比较.统计分析结果表明:T形交叉口和十字形交叉口的接受间隙和拒绝间隙明显不同,其中342型交叉口各流向的接受间隙和拒绝间隙值明显大于322型交叉口各流向的接受间隙和拒绝间隙值;支路左转车流的实测值大于HCM2010的推荐值,而其他流向的实测值均小于HCM2010推荐值;不同区域的交叉口各流向临界间隙值不同,越靠近外环,机动车临界间隙越大.     

盾构隧道壁后注浆研究现状及发展趋势

壁后注浆是盾构隧道施工过程中必不可少的环节。针对盾构隧道壁后注浆的特点,分析壁后注浆研究拟解决的主要问题,同时对壁后注浆研究论文的分布特征、研究机构、科研群体及基金资助等情况进行分析,综述盾构隧道壁后注浆研究现状,探讨其未来研究的发展方向。结果表明:1)传统岩土工程研究对盾构隧道壁后注浆研究具有较大的参考价值;2)在论文质量与数量方面,该领域研究成果依然不多,且高等院校的优势明显;3)国家基金的资助对盾构壁后注浆研究的促进作用巨大;4)壁后注浆研究现状中,对浆液材料研究较多,注浆参数控制和浆液扩散机制依然停留在理论阶段,而对注浆效果评估的研究依旧不多。     

陕西省高速公路轴载特性区域划分

路面结构设计中一般是结合实测轴载数据计算累计当量轴次,但是新建和改建路面设计中实测轴载数据的调查往往难以实现,导致预测交通量无法准确表征实际交通状况。针对此问题,通过对陕西省18条高速路段的车流量数据和6条典型高速路段的实测轴载数据进行比对,分析其车型分布规律、轴型分布规律以及轴载分布规律的区域特征,为利用轴载特性相似区域的已知轴载调查数据预测交通量提供理论依据。研究结果表明:西安周边地区小客车占比明显高于其他类型车辆占比,通往外省地区拖挂车占比与小客车占比接近;西安周边地区以轻型拖挂车为主,通往外省地区以重型拖挂车为主;2个区域的超载比例差异明显,通往外省地区高速路段的超载比例多数是西安周边地区的2倍。     

南非规范与中国规范中汽车荷载对比研究

为给我国涉外桥梁工程项目设计提供参考,对我国与南非桥梁设计规范中汽车荷载效应进行对比研究。采用铰接板梁法和刚接梁法,计算常用跨径的单片简支梁在南非与中国规范汽车活载作用下的横向分布系数。在此基础上,通过对简支梁及整体式连续梁的纵向影响线加载,分析2种规范中考虑汽车活载纵、横向分布后的差异。对比发现,对于常用中小跨径的简支、连续梁,南非规范汽车活载效应均高出中国规范30%以上;对于简支T梁跨中截面及连续梁支点截面,南非规范汽车活载效应高出中国规范35%~80%。即便考虑到两国规范中汽车冲击效应计入方式的不同,南非规范汽车活载也大于中国规范规定值。     

船舶配电系统交流智能配电关键技术研究

本文首先论述了船舶交流配电系统的发展需求,然后重点研究了船舶配电系统交流智能配电的关键技术,包括限流判断控制策略、短路故障判断策略及冲击性负载引起限流后解除限流的判断策略,最后通过原理样机,验证了船舶配电系统交流智能配电关键技术解决途径的可行性。     

在役港工混凝土强度时变规律

钢筋混凝土构件是港口码头结构中的主要组成部分,研究其构件在服役一段时间后混凝土强度的分布特征以及时变规律具有重要的实际意义。对大量混凝土强度的检测数据进行统计分析,采用W检验法对混凝土强度进行了概率分布类型的拟合检验,验证了采用正态分布的可行性,并给出了采用不同检测方法混凝土强度的参考值;通过统计不同年限混凝土强度的实测值,采用回归分析的方法得到回弹法测得的混凝土强度值与服役年限之间的关系。